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56 percent say Trump has interfered with the investigation, vs

another poll shows his lies are failing

moncler saldi outlet One place this constantly manifests itself is with special counsel Robert S. Mueller’s III’s investigation: If Mueller’s approval falls a few points, a throng of pundits and hand wringing liberals rushes forth to tell us that Trump is moncler outlet online shop „winning” his battle with Mueller. moncler saldi outlet

moncler outlet serravalle But what if public opinion about Trump and the Russia piumini moncler scontatissimi probe is a lot simpler than we think? What if the story is that large majorities think Trump is probably guilty of some sort of wrongdoing; believe that Mueller’s investigation is legitimately in keeping with the rule of law and is pursuing matters that are important to the public interest; want Trump to face questioning over these matters; don’t like Trump’s constant attacks on the investigation; and believe Trump has been trying to interfere outlet moncler with the probe and has been steadily lying about it all along? moncler outlet serravalle

piumini moncler outlet This morning, Trump is once again raging at Mueller on Twitter, calling for his probe to be shut down. A moncler uomo new CNN poll finds: piumini moncler outlet

piumini moncler scontatissimi Only 34 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of the Russia investigation, vs. 55 percent who disapprove. 58 percent say this is a serious piumini moncler matter that should be investigated, vs. only 37 percent who think it’s mainly an effort to discredit Trump. 56 percent say Trump has interfered with the investigation, vs. only 38 percent who say he has moncler donna not. piumini moncler uomo Only 37 percent say the things Trump has said publicly about the investigation are true, vs. 56 percent who say they are false. 70 percent say Trump should testify to Mueller, vs. only 25 percent who say he should not. 57 percent say Trump knew about contacts between his campaign operatives and Russians, vs. only 36 percent who say he did not. Trump is losing every single public argument about the Mueller probe. Regardless, this is only the latest in a long string of things that was supposed to „give Trump fodder” to disqualify the investigation, to use that deeply misleading and self reinforcing journalistic piumini moncler saldi cliche. moncler bambino saldi piumini moncler scontatissimi

piumini moncler saldi But the fodder is failing, and so are all his lies. Only small minorities moncler outlet online uomo believe the probe is a witch hunt; think he hasn’t interfered in it; believe he’s telling the truth about these matters; and don’t think he should testify. And those minorities are largely dominated by Republicans: piumini moncler outlet In all these cases, independents who matter in midterms are tilted against him, a trend that other polls have also demonstrated. piumini moncler saldi

moncler bambino outlet It is often suggested that all Trump has to do to „win” is moncler bambino saldi keep his base behind him against Mueller. The idea is supposed to be that this will ensure that House Republicans won’t impeach Trump. But House Republicans are almost certainly never going to impeach Trump, no matter what Mueller finds. The only way Trump will be held accountable, should moncler bambino outlet those findings be very serious, is if Democrats take back the House. moncler bambino outlet

piumini moncler uomo And so, what will matter for accountability purposes is whether Trump’s lies about the Mueller probe are enough moncler outlet serravalle to prevent a Democratic takeover. And on this score, the CNN poll is notable: The college moncler saldi uomo educated white voters who will be so important this fall tilt heavily against Trump: 60 percent moncler saldi outlet say the Russia affair is serious and should be investigated; 61 percent say Trump interfered in the investigation; and 58 percent say he has been lying about it. piumini moncler uomo

moncler outlet online shop It is often also suggested that Trump’s attacks on the Mueller probe work by galvanizing his base, which could help keep the House in GOP hands. But here, too, the CNN poll is instructive: While large majorities of Republican voters say the Mueller probe will be important to them this fall, similarly large majorities moncler outlet of Democrats say the same. moncler outlet online shop

outlet moncler I’m not claiming the Mueller probe moncler outlet trebaseleghe will necessarily give a big lift to Democratic efforts to take the House. My view is that Trump’s handling of it is part of a broader story about Trumpian self dealing and corruptionand his reliance on the House GOP to shield him from accountability and allow him to act with impunity on many fronts. And the precise impact of the Russia story as part of that broader narrative is hard to gauge. outlet moncler

moncler saldi But there is no evidence Trump’s lies are likely to give the GOP a boost in keeping the moncler saldi House. The Russia story is probably hurting Republicans more than it is helping. Which means that on this score, Trump isn’t „winning” at all moncler saldi.

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